2
Killa Creed
3yo Gelding · 8-7 · OR 58
Thistledown · Race 6 - Maiden Special Weight · 5f 110y
#1
Rank
Odds
8/5
Win Prob
69%
Place Prob
45%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength20%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 5.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-03 | Thistledown | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-13 | Thistledown | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-27 | Thistledown | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-20 | Thistledown | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 6100% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +17.0% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 1st of 6. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06/2026 | 11th | 9/2 | 76% | 9% | -0.67 |
| 27/07/2026 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 82% | +0.56 |
| 13/08/2026 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 50% | -0.29 |
| 03/09/2026 | 2nd | 13/2 | 66% | 83% | +0.18 |