1
All Pepped Up
3yo Filly · 8-3 · OR 67
Thistledown · Race 7 - Allowance · 6f
#1
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
99%
Place Prob
84%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength20%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 3.2 /10 (raw 2.9)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-07 | Thistledown | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-08-24 | Thistledown | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-03 | Thistledown | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-29 | Thistledown | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-03-02 | Mahoning Valley | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-02-17 | Mahoning Valley | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 640% of fieldRange 2-5 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength54%
Delivery trend -7.4% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 4th of 6. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/09/2025 | 1st | 12/1 | 37% | 100% | +0.63 |
| 17/02/2026 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 83% | -0.01 |
| 02/03/2026 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 60% | +0.07 |
| 29/04/2026 | 8th | 16/1 | 16% | 30% | +0.14 |
| 03/08/2026 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 80% | -0.02 |
| 24/08/2026 | 3rd | 10/3 | 82% | 60% | -0.22 |
| 07/09/2026 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |