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5

Electric Eden

3yo Filly · 8-3 · OR 56

Thistledown · Race 7 - Allowance · 6f

#2

Rank

Odds

4/1

Win Prob

1%

Place Prob

8%

Rank

#2

Class Advantage Projection

Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲1
Strength20%

What the class read says

Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 3.3 /10 (raw 3.4)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.8
Today:
Class gap: -0.8
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Thistledown 15/10/2025 · Pos 9th of 10 · OR 41 · 5f110y Fas 118 · beat its mark15/10/2025 · OR 41 par15/10C6OR 41C6 @ Mahoning Valley 01/04/2026 · Pos 3rd of 11 · OR 33 · 6f Slo 118 · beat its mark01/04/2026 · OR 33 parC6 @ Thistledown 22/04/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 27 · 5f110y Fas 119 · beat its mark22/04/2026 · OR 27 par22/04C6OR 27C6 @ Thistledown 11/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 30 · 6f 119 · beat its mark11/05/2026 · OR 30 parC6 @ Thistledown 28/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 34 · 6f 119 · beat its mark28/05/2026 · OR 34 par28/05C6OR 34C6 @ Thistledown 20/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR 38 · 6f 119 · beat its mark20/06/2026 · OR 38 parC6 @ Thistledown 06/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 40 · 5f110y 119 · beat its mark06/07/2026 · OR 40 par6/07C6OR 40C6 @ Thistledown 27/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 43 · 6f Fas 119 · beat its mark27/07/2026 · OR 43 parC5 @ Thistledown 24/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 47 · 6f 119 · beat its mark24/08/2026 · OR 47 par24/08C5OR 47projClass-projected finish: 1st of 5
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-24Thistledown?1st1st0
2026-07-27Thistledown?1st2nd−1
2026-07-06Thistledown?3rd4th−1
2026-06-20Thistledown?3rd4th−1
2026-05-28Thistledown?2nd3rd−1
2026-05-11Thistledown?4th5th−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today15/1011/056/0724/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 6100% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +5.0% per run

What the projection says

Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 1st of 6. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
15/10/20259th9/276%11%-0.65
01/04/20263rd10/147%80%+0.33
22/04/20264th8/158%50%-0.08
11/05/20264th7/282%50%-0.32
28/05/20262nd16/116%86%+0.70
20/06/20263rd10/382%75%-0.07
06/07/20263rd4/179%60%-0.19
27/07/20261st5/174%100%+0.26
24/08/20261st11/486%100%+0.14