6
Oh Glorious Day
5yo Mare · 8-7 · OR 64
Thistledown · Race 8 - Claiming · 6f
#8
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength43%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.2 /10 (raw 4.1)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.1
Today:
Class gap: +0.4
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-07 | Thistledown | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-08-17 | Thistledown | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-27 | Thistledown | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-08 | Thistledown | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-01 | Thistledown | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-05-11 | Thistledown | ? | 7th | 4th | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 80% of fieldRange 4-6 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength40%
Delivery trend -1.0% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 8th of 8.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/03/2026 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 25/03/2026 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 29% | +0.02 |
| 09/04/2026 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 25% | +0.09 |
| 11/05/2026 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 01/06/2026 | 8th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 08/07/2026 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 67% | +0.30 |
| 27/07/2026 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 25% | +0.09 |
| 17/08/2026 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 17% | -0.10 |
| 07/09/2026 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 29% | +0.02 |