2

Idole Du Fraisse
3yo Colt · 9-6
Vichy · Prix Munet Handicap · 6f 211y
#5
Rank
Odds
11/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 7.2 /10 (raw 7.0)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.8
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-21 | Clairefontaine | 3 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-07-06 | Clairefontaine | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-23 | Bordeaux Le Bouscat | 4 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-03-21 | Lyon La Soie | 3 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-01-17 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-12-04 | Pau | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1586% of fieldRange 1-11 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength83%
Delivery trend +0.4% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 15.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/10/2025 | 6th | 40/1 | 0% | 58% | +0.58 |
| 12/11/2025 | 7th | 9/2 | 76% | 14% | -0.62 |
| 04/12/2025 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 38% | +0.01 |
| 17/01/2026 | 8th | 50/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 21/03/2026 | 12th | 25/1 | 0% | 8% | +0.08 |
| 23/05/2026 | 8th | 9/2 | 76% | 53% | -0.23 |
| 06/07/2026 | 1st | 15/2 | 61% | 100% | +0.39 |
| 21/08/2026 | 8th | 16/1 | 16% | 22% | +0.06 |