4
Lofty Tales
3yo Filly · 9-6
Vichy · Prix Munet Handicap · 6f 211y
#8
Rank
Odds
9/4
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 6.3 /10 (raw 6.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | Saint-Cloud | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-22 | Vichy | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-06-30 | Cholet | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-03-27 | Compiegne | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-03-10 | Saint-Cloud | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2025-12-11 | Chantilly | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1579% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +7.7% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 15. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/12/2025 | 8th | 6/1 | 68% | 50% | -0.18 |
| 10/03/2026 | 11th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 27/03/2026 | 5th | 28/1 | 0% | 56% | +0.56 |
| 30/06/2026 | 2nd | 14/1 | 26% | 89% | +0.63 |
| 22/07/2026 | 9th | 5/1 | 74% | 43% | -0.31 |
| 11/09/2026 | 3rd | 17/2 | 55% | 86% | +0.30 |