11
Nocturne Blou
3yo Filly · 8-13
Vichy · Prix Munet Handicap · 6f 211y
#4
Rank
Odds
30/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 3.8)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.3
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-03 | Vichy | 3 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-20 | Vichy | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-22 | Marseille | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-05-02 | Marseille | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-12-16 | Marseille | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-12-08 | Marseille | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1543% of fieldRange 4-15 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▲
Strength17%
Delivery trend +2.6% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 9th of 15. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/07/2025 | 1st | 15/8 | 90% | 100% | +0.10 |
| 06/08/2025 | 4th | 9/4 | 88% | 57% | -0.31 |
| 03/09/2025 | 7th | 4/1 | 79% | 0% | -0.79 |
| 08/12/2025 | 5th | 28/1 | 0% | 56% | +0.56 |
| 16/12/2025 | 1st | 14/1 | 26% | 100% | +0.74 |
| 02/05/2026 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |
| 22/05/2026 | 9th | 18/1 | 5% | 11% | +0.06 |
| 20/07/2026 | 4th | 50/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 03/08/2026 | 5th | 4/1 | 79% | 43% | -0.36 |