14
Shativa
3yo Filly · 8-6
Vichy · Prix Munet Handicap · 6f 211y
#3
Rank
Odds
22/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength14%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 5.5 /10 (raw 6.9)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 | Vichy | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-06 | Clairefontaine | ? | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2026-06-13 | Lyon-Parilly | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-08 | Lyon-Parilly | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-04-13 | Lyon-Parilly | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-03-09 | Marseille | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1557% of fieldRange 5-15 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength21%
Delivery trend +0.2% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 15.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/09/2025 | 8th | 100/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 21/01/2026 | 7th | 80/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 14/02/2026 | 14th | 50/1 | 0% | 7% | +0.07 |
| 09/03/2026 | 7th | 66/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 13/04/2026 | 3rd | 22/1 | 0% | 71% | +0.71 |
| 08/05/2026 | 7th | 14/1 | 26% | 45% | +0.19 |
| 13/06/2026 | 1st | 8/1 | 58% | 100% | +0.42 |
| 06/07/2026 | 13th | 15/2 | 61% | 0% | -0.61 |
| 30/07/2026 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 88% | +0.51 |