5
Boudechou
2yo Colt · 9-2
Vichy · Prix De Laprugne Maiden Stakes · 1m 1f 207y
#5
Rank
Odds
13/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼1
Strength41%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.1 /10 (raw 4.0)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.8
Today:
Class gap: +0.8
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-26 | La Teste De Buch | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-22 | Vichy | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-22 | Lyon-Parilly | 3 | 7th | 5th | +2 |
| 2026-06-12 | Marseille-borely | 3 | 4th | 2nd | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1078% of fieldRange 1-10 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▬
Strength65%
Delivery trend -1.2% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 3rd of 10.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/06/2026 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 57% | +0.57 |
| 22/06/2026 | 7th | 4/1 | 79% | 0% | -0.79 |
| 22/07/2026 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 71% | +0.03 |
| 26/08/2026 | 2nd | 13/2 | 66% | 92% | +0.26 |