5
Florencia
2yo Filly · 9-2
Vichy · Prix De Marly-le-Roi Maiden Stakes · 1m 1f 207y
#8
Rank
Odds
18/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼1
Strength20%
What the class read says
Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.7 /10 (raw 7.7)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.7
Today:
Class gap: +0.8
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-26 | La Teste De Buch | ? | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-07-23 | Mont De Marsan | 2 | 8th | 5th | +3 |
| 2026-04-17 | Tarbes | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 80% of fieldRange 4-8 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength0%
Delivery trend +1.6% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 8th of 8.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/04/2026 | 3rd | 7/1 | 63% | 60% | -0.03 |
| 23/07/2026 | 8th | 10/1 | 47% | 0% | -0.47 |
| 26/08/2026 | 12th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |