1

Grisy April

2yo Filly · 9-2

Vichy · Prix De Marly-le-Roi Maiden Stakes · 1m 1f 207y

#2

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

1%

Place Prob

7%

Rank

#2

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 6.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Vichy 30/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR - · 7f209y Sft 12330/07C5C5 @ Vichy 03/09/2026 · Pos 9th of 11 · OR - · 7f209y Sft 1283/09C5projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 4
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-03Vichy?9th9th0
2026-07-30Vichy?3rd3rd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today30/073/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 857% of fieldRange 7-7 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength13%

Delivery trend -17.7% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 8. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
30/07/20263rd13/266%67%+0.01
03/09/20269th12/137%20%-0.17