13
Breizh Moon
6yo Mare · 8-13
Vichy · Prix Charles Giraudon Handicap · 1m 1f 207y
#12
Rank
Odds
30/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#12
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 8.0 /10 (raw 6.1)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.2
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-08 | Lyon-Parilly | 4 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-08-06 | Vichy | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-20 | Vichy | 3 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-06-12 | Marseille-borely | 3 | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2026-04-05 | ParisLongchamp | 2 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-03-22 | Marseille | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1431% of fieldRange 7-14 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength4%
Delivery trend -3.6% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 10th of 14. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/01/2026 | 6th | 22/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 09/02/2026 | 9th | 16/1 | 16% | 38% | +0.23 |
| 04/03/2026 | 4th | 7/1 | 63% | 63% | -0.01 |
| 22/03/2026 | 5th | 11/1 | 42% | 64% | +0.22 |
| 05/04/2026 | 8th | 14/1 | 26% | 53% | +0.27 |
| 12/06/2026 | 13th | 16/1 | 16% | 8% | -0.08 |
| 20/07/2026 | 12th | 16/1 | 16% | 27% | +0.11 |
| 06/08/2026 | 2nd | 20/1 | 0% | 92% | +0.92 |
| 08/09/2026 | 8th | 5/1 | 74% | 36% | -0.37 |