12
Eastman
4yo Colt · 8-13
Vichy · Prix Charles Giraudon Handicap · 1m 1f 207y
#5
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength17%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 5.2)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.4
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-03 | Vichy | 3 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-08-15 | Vichy | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-25 | Vichy | 3 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-18 | Marseille-borely | 3 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-04-27 | Marseille-borely | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-04-10 | Marseille-borely | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1462% of fieldRange 2-7 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength74%
Delivery trend +4.4% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 14. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/02/2026 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 18/03/2026 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 92% | +0.07 |
| 03/04/2026 | 7th | 7/2 | 82% | 60% | -0.22 |
| 10/04/2026 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |
| 27/04/2026 | 1st | 15/8 | 90% | 100% | +0.10 |
| 18/05/2026 | 5th | 11/2 | 71% | 73% | +0.02 |
| 25/07/2026 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 60% | +0.44 |
| 15/08/2026 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 78% | +0.30 |
| 03/09/2026 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 58% | +0.32 |