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2

Linfasommer

6yo Mare · 9-9

Vichy · Prix Charles Giraudon Handicap · 1m 1f 207y

#2

Rank

Odds

18/5

Win Prob

6%

Place Prob

18%

Rank

#2

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength3%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 5.3)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C2.3
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack2 @ Chantilly 03/03/2026 · Pos 5th of 16 · OR - · 1m1f97y Std 1203/0322 @ Chantilly 23/03/2026 · Pos 7th of 15 · OR - · 1m1f97y Std 1202 @ ParisLongchamp 12/04/2026 · Pos 10th of 15 · OR - · 1m3f204y GS 12112/0422 @ ParisLongchamp 03/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 15 · OR - · 1m208y Ver 1242 @ Marseille-borely 18/05/2026 · Pos 10th of 14 · OR - · 1m1f207y GS 12018/0522 @ Aix-Les-Bains 14/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR - · 1m208y Sft 1223 @ Vichy 25/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 11 · OR - · 7f209y GS 13525/0732 @ Clairefontaine 03/08/2026 · Pos 9th of 15 · OR - · 1m208y GS 1293 @ Lyon-Parilly 08/09/2026 · Pos 3rd of 12 · OR - · 7f209y Sft 1338/093projClass-projected finish: 6th of 14
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-08Lyon-Parilly33rd3rd0
2026-08-03Clairefontaine29th9th0
2026-07-25Vichy31st1st0
2026-07-14Aix-Les-Bains25th5th0
2026-05-18Marseille-borely210th10th0
2026-05-03ParisLongchamp22nd2nd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today3/033/0525/078/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 14100% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength100%

Delivery trend -2.2% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 14. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
03/03/20265th18/15%73%+0.68
23/03/20267th12/137%57%+0.20
12/04/202610th33/10%36%+0.36
03/05/20262nd28/10%93%+0.93
18/05/202610th11/271%31%-0.40
14/07/20265th11/142%20%-0.22
25/07/20261st15/261%100%+0.39
03/08/20269th33/10%43%+0.43
08/09/20263rd12/137%82%+0.45