1
Lord Of War
5yo Gelding · 9-10
Vichy · Prix Charles Giraudon Handicap · 1m 1f 207y
#13
Rank
Odds
45/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#13
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 8.7 /10 (raw 6.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C2.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-16 | ParisLongchamp | 2 | 15th | 15th | 0 |
| 2026-03-24 | Saint-Cloud | 2 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-02-09 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | 2 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-01-26 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | 2 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-12-16 | Marseille | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-11-09 | Saint-Cloud | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish14th of 140% of fieldRange 11-14 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -6.5% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 14th of 14. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/08/2025 | 8th | 14/1 | 26% | 53% | +0.27 |
| 01/09/2025 | 12th | 16/1 | 16% | 21% | +0.06 |
| 04/10/2025 | 7th | 22/1 | 0% | 65% | +0.65 |
| 09/11/2025 | 1st | 8/1 | 58% | 100% | +0.42 |
| 16/12/2025 | 8th | 18/1 | 5% | 22% | +0.17 |
| 26/01/2026 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 60% | +0.44 |
| 09/02/2026 | 10th | 18/1 | 5% | 31% | +0.26 |
| 24/03/2026 | 11th | 14/1 | 26% | 33% | +0.07 |
| 16/04/2026 | 15th | 9/1 | 53% | 0% | -0.53 |