4
Mets Le Feu
4yo Gelding · 9-4
Vichy · Prix Charles Giraudon Handicap · 1m 1f 207y
#10
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 7.0 /10 (raw 6.5)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C2.7
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-03 | Vichy | 3 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-08-20 | Deauville | 3 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-07-20 | Vichy | 2 | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2026-06-22 | Lyon-Parilly | 2 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-06-09 | Compiegne | 3 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-14 | ParisLongchamp | 3 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 1415% of fieldRange 8-14 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -5.0% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 12th of 14. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/08/2025 | 8th | 20/1 | 0% | 42% | +0.42 |
| 21/03/2026 | 5th | 66/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 11/04/2026 | 5th | 18/1 | 5% | 69% | +0.64 |
| 14/05/2026 | 1st | 6/4 | 92% | 100% | +0.08 |
| 09/06/2026 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 22/06/2026 | 12th | 4/1 | 79% | 8% | -0.71 |
| 20/07/2026 | 13th | 17/2 | 55% | 20% | -0.35 |
| 20/08/2026 | 8th | 18/1 | 5% | 36% | +0.31 |
| 03/09/2026 | 7th | 18/1 | 5% | 50% | +0.45 |