7

Plata D Octobre

4yo Filly · 9-2

Vichy · Prix Charles Giraudon Handicap · 1m 1f 207y

#1

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

92%

Place Prob

69%

Rank

#1

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength7%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 3.7)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.8
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack3 @ Cagnes-sur-Mer 11/02/2026 · Pos 3rd of 14 · OR - · 1m1f207y Std 12011/0234 @ Marseille-borely 18/03/2026 · Pos 5th of 13 · OR - · 1m1f207y Ver 1233 @ Saint-Cloud 03/04/2026 · Pos 2nd of 16 · OR - · 1m1f207y Sft 1293/0434 @ Lyon-Parilly 29/04/2026 · Pos 3rd of 12 · OR - · 1m1f207y Sft 1324 @ Salon-De-Provence 25/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 11 · OR - · 1m1f207y GS 13225/0544 @ Marseille 20/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 13 · OR - · 1m1f207y Std 1324 @ Vichy 21/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 14 · OR - · 1m1f207y Hvy 12921/0744 @ Vichy 03/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 12 · OR - · 1m1f207y Hvy 1363 @ Vichy 03/09/2026 · Pos 5th of 13 · OR - · 1m1f207y Sft 1253/093projClass-projected finish: 1st of 14
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-03Vichy35th5th0
2026-08-03Vichy41st1st0
2026-07-21Vichy41st1st0
2026-06-20Marseille44th4th0
2026-05-25Salon-De-Provence44th4th0
2026-04-29Lyon-Parilly43rd3rd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today11/0229/0421/073/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1485% of fieldRange 5-11 · 68%
RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend
Strength46%

Delivery trend -3.2% per run

What the projection says

Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 3rd of 14. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
11/02/20263rd13/266%85%+0.19
18/03/20265th17/255%67%+0.11
03/04/20262nd8/158%93%+0.35
29/04/20263rd9/488%82%-0.06
25/05/20264th2/189%70%-0.19
20/06/20264th3/184%75%-0.09
21/07/20261st3/184%100%+0.16
03/08/20261st15/890%100%+0.10
03/09/20265th3/184%67%-0.18