8
Portucale
5yo Filly · 9-2
Vichy · Prix Charles Giraudon Handicap · 1m 1f 207y
#9
Rank
Odds
18/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 7.5 /10 (raw 5.6)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C2.8
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-03 | Vichy | 3 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-07-21 | Vichy | 4 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-06-22 | Lyon-Parilly | 2 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-18 | Marseille-borely | 2 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-04-29 | Lyon-Parilly | 3 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-03-18 | Marseille-borely | 3 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1438% of fieldRange 7-14 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength0%
Delivery trend -1.3% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 9th of 14.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/11/2025 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 60% | +0.23 |
| 19/01/2026 | 3rd | 3/1 | 84% | 86% | +0.02 |
| 18/02/2026 | 11th | 4/1 | 79% | 0% | -0.79 |
| 18/03/2026 | 6th | 7/2 | 82% | 38% | -0.44 |
| 29/04/2026 | 1st | 14/1 | 26% | 100% | +0.74 |
| 18/05/2026 | 12th | 12/1 | 37% | 15% | -0.21 |
| 22/06/2026 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 50% | +0.34 |
| 21/07/2026 | 9th | 7/1 | 63% | 38% | -0.25 |
| 03/09/2026 | 10th | 7/1 | 63% | 25% | -0.38 |