14
Terredeguerre
6yo Mare · 8-10
Vichy · Prix Charles Giraudon Handicap · 1m 1f 207y
#7
Rank
Odds
30/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength22%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 3.2 /10 (raw 5.4)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-28 | Moulins | 3 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-25 | Vichy | 3 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-07-20 | Vichy | 3 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-13 | Lyon-Parilly | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-30 | Lyon-Parilly | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-13 | Vichy | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1454% of fieldRange 6-14 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength13%
Delivery trend +1.1% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 14.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/03/2026 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 09/04/2026 | 5th | 9/4 | 88% | 56% | -0.33 |
| 27/04/2026 | 5th | 11/2 | 71% | 50% | -0.21 |
| 13/05/2026 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 93% | +0.56 |
| 30/05/2026 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 13/06/2026 | 1st | 10/3 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 20/07/2026 | 3rd | 8/1 | 58% | 87% | +0.29 |
| 25/07/2026 | 9th | 3/1 | 84% | 20% | -0.64 |
| 28/08/2026 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 80% | +0.43 |