9
Treasure Keeper
8yo Horse · 9-2
Vichy · Prix Charles Giraudon Handicap · 1m 1f 207y
#4
Rank
Odds
13/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength24%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 4.8)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C2.8
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-19 | Chantilly | 3 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-19 | Chantilly | 3 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-28 | Chantilly | 3 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-03-29 | Lyon-Parilly | 3 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-03-03 | Chantilly | 2 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-02-05 | Chantilly | 3 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1469% of fieldRange 3-9 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength61%
Delivery trend +2.7% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 14. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/11/2025 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 57% | -0.01 |
| 01/12/2025 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 45% | +0.09 |
| 02/01/2026 | 9th | 14/1 | 26% | 11% | -0.15 |
| 05/02/2026 | 1st | 13/2 | 66% | 100% | +0.34 |
| 03/03/2026 | 8th | 18/1 | 5% | 53% | +0.48 |
| 29/03/2026 | 7th | 10/1 | 47% | 50% | +0.03 |
| 28/04/2026 | 2nd | 8/1 | 58% | 93% | +0.35 |
| 19/05/2026 | 3rd | 17/2 | 55% | 86% | +0.30 |
| 19/06/2026 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 85% | +0.06 |