6
Treatwood
6yo Gelding · 9-3
Vichy · Prix Charles Giraudon Handicap · 1m 1f 207y
#3
Rank
Odds
15/1
Win Prob
2%
Place Prob
11%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength7%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 5.7)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-03 | Vichy | 3 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-07-21 | Vichy | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-22 | Lyon-Parilly | 3 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-29 | Lyon-Parilly | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-04-09 | Moulins | 4 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-03-29 | Lyon-Parilly | 3 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1492% of fieldRange 1-9 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength75%
Delivery trend +7.6% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 14. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/10/2025 | 6th | 13/2 | 66% | 38% | -0.28 |
| 13/11/2025 | 15th | 40/1 | 0% | 7% | +0.07 |
| 10/03/2026 | 12th | 40/1 | 0% | 27% | +0.27 |
| 29/03/2026 | 8th | 10/1 | 47% | 42% | -0.06 |
| 09/04/2026 | 7th | 15/2 | 61% | 45% | -0.15 |
| 29/04/2026 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 22/06/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 67% | +0.30 |
| 21/07/2026 | 1st | 22/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 03/09/2026 | 9th | 14/1 | 26% | 33% | +0.07 |