7

Apollon

7yo Gelding · 9-3

Vichy · Prix De Moulins Handicap · 1m 1f 207y

#1

Rank

Odds

17/2

Win Prob

80%

Place Prob

53%

Rank

#1

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength16%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 6.2)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.2
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Saint-Cloud 14/11/2025 · Pos 6th of 12 · OR - · 7f209y Sft 12314/11C53 @ Saint-Cloud 10/04/2026 · Pos 5th of 13 · OR - · 7f209y Sft 1314 @ Vichy 13/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 16 · OR - · 7f209y Sft 12913/0543 @ Compiegne 09/06/2026 · Pos 10th of 16 · OR - · 7f209y GS 1303 @ Chantilly 24/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR - · 7f209y Gd 12924/0633 @ Saint-Malo 01/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR - · 1m208y Sft 1124 @ Vichy 06/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 12 · OR - · 7f209y Sft 1296/0843 @ Clairefontaine 14/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 13 · OR - · 7f209y GS 1283 @ Clairefontaine 29/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 16 · OR - · 1m208y Hvy 12829/083projClass-projected finish: 1st of 13
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-29Clairefontaine31st1st0
2026-08-14Clairefontaine35th5th0
2026-08-06Vichy41st1st0
2026-08-01Saint-Malo36th6th0
2026-06-24Chantilly35th5th0
2026-06-09Compiegne310th10th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today14/119/066/0829/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1392% of fieldRange 1-10 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength63%

Delivery trend -0.9% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 13.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
14/11/20256th25/10%55%+0.55
10/04/20265th9/153%67%+0.14
13/05/20262nd6/168%93%+0.25
09/06/202610th7/163%40%-0.23
24/06/20265th17/255%56%+0.00
01/08/20266th10/147%17%-0.31
06/08/20261st6/492%100%+0.08
14/08/20265th6/168%67%-0.02
29/08/20261st12/137%100%+0.63