3
Cedrus
5yo Gelding · 9-5
Vichy · Prix De Moulins Handicap · 1m 1f 207y
#7
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 6.3 /10 (raw 6.3)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-03 | Vichy | 3 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-15 | Vichy | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-21 | Vichy | 4 | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2026-07-07 | Aix-Les-Bains | 4 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-21 | Lyon-Parilly | 3 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-30 | Lyon-Parilly | 3 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1375% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +6.0% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 13. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/03/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 75% | +0.38 |
| 21/03/2026 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |
| 13/04/2026 | 12th | 11/1 | 42% | 15% | -0.27 |
| 30/05/2026 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 40% | +0.24 |
| 21/06/2026 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 07/07/2026 | 7th | 8/1 | 58% | 0% | -0.58 |
| 21/07/2026 | 13th | 28/1 | 0% | 8% | +0.08 |
| 15/08/2026 | 4th | 33/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 03/09/2026 | 2nd | 28/1 | 0% | 92% | +0.92 |