9
Joyeuse Sage
7yo Mare · 9-1
Vichy · Prix De Moulins Handicap · 1m 1f 207y
#10
Rank
Odds
18/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 7.2 /10 (raw 6.8)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C2.7
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-07 | Saint-Cloud | 3 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-08-23 | Deauville | 2 | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2026-08-04 | Deauville | 3 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-07-14 | ParisLongchamp | 3 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-02 | ParisLongchamp | 3 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-14 | Chantilly | 2 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 1317% of fieldRange 6-13 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength1%
Delivery trend -3.1% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 11th of 13. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/04/2026 | 15th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |
| 04/05/2026 | 3rd | 33/1 | 0% | 87% | +0.87 |
| 24/05/2026 | 3rd | 8/1 | 58% | 80% | +0.22 |
| 14/06/2026 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 38% | -0.10 |
| 02/07/2026 | 1st | 12/1 | 37% | 100% | +0.63 |
| 14/07/2026 | 6th | 2/1 | 89% | 38% | -0.52 |
| 04/08/2026 | 9th | 10/1 | 47% | 11% | -0.36 |
| 23/08/2026 | 13th | 50/1 | 0% | 8% | +0.08 |
| 07/09/2026 | 8th | 18/1 | 5% | 42% | +0.36 |