8
Kalafa
4yo Filly · 9-2
Vichy · Prix De Moulins Handicap · 1m 1f 207y
#6
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 6.2 /10 (raw 4.8)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.6
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-11 | ParisLongchamp | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-14 | ParisLongchamp | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-04-30 | ParisLongchamp | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-08 | Senonnes-Pouance | 3 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-03-19 | Saint-Cloud | 3 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2025-11-28 | Deauville | ? | 12th | 12th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1342% of fieldRange 4-13 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength23%
Delivery trend -2.6% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 8th of 13. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/09/2025 | 1st | 15/2 | 61% | 100% | +0.39 |
| 09/10/2025 | 2nd | 6/1 | 68% | 93% | +0.24 |
| 02/11/2025 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 92% | +0.13 |
| 28/11/2025 | 12th | 4/1 | 79% | 21% | -0.58 |
| 19/03/2026 | 10th | 9/1 | 53% | 0% | -0.53 |
| 08/04/2026 | 8th | 12/1 | 37% | 22% | -0.15 |
| 30/04/2026 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 91% | +0.54 |
| 14/05/2026 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 11/06/2026 | 4th | 2/1 | 89% | 67% | -0.23 |