10

Lamiral Darhaan
5yo Gelding · 9-1
Vichy · Prix De Moulins Handicap · 1m 1f 207y
#2
Rank
Odds
22/1
Win Prob
15%
Place Prob
23%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength15%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 2.7 /10 (raw 4.2)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.3
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-08 | Lyon-Parilly | 4 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-08-15 | Vichy | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-27 | Vittel | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-14 | Aix-Les-Bains | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-30 | Aix-Les-Bains | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-06 | Lyon-Parilly | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1350% of fieldRange 9-13 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -4.7% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 7th of 13. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/04/2026 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 38% | -0.10 |
| 13/05/2026 | 4th | 22/1 | 0% | 79% | +0.79 |
| 24/05/2026 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 89% | +0.02 |
| 06/06/2026 | 3rd | 17/2 | 55% | 71% | +0.16 |
| 30/06/2026 | 2nd | 17/2 | 55% | 83% | +0.28 |
| 14/07/2026 | 1st | 5/4 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 27/07/2026 | 2nd | 6/1 | 68% | 90% | +0.22 |
| 15/08/2026 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 08/09/2026 | 7th | 3/1 | 84% | 40% | -0.44 |