12
Larlib
4yo Gelding · 8-11
Vichy · Prix De Moulins Handicap · 1m 1f 207y
#9
Rank
Odds
11/5
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength12%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 7.2 /10 (raw 8.4)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.2
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-07 | Saint-Cloud | 3 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-16 | Deauville | 3 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-03-29 | Saint-Cloud | 3 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-03-11 | Lyon La Soie | 4 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-02-25 | Chantilly | 3 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-02-18 | Pornichet | 3 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1358% of fieldRange 1-10 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength87%
Delivery trend -0.4% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 13.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/11/2025 | 15th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 30/12/2025 | 10th | 16/1 | 16% | 40% | +0.24 |
| 29/01/2026 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 57% | +0.57 |
| 18/02/2026 | 4th | 10/3 | 82% | 50% | -0.32 |
| 25/02/2026 | 9th | 12/1 | 37% | 20% | -0.17 |
| 11/03/2026 | 6th | 7/2 | 82% | 17% | -0.65 |
| 29/03/2026 | 12th | 8/1 | 58% | 8% | -0.50 |
| 16/08/2026 | 9th | 20/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 07/09/2026 | 3rd | 11/1 | 42% | 83% | +0.41 |