5
Waldkauz
9yo Gelding · 9-4
Vichy · Prix De Moulins Handicap · 1m 1f 207y
#5
Rank
Odds
13/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 6.5 /10 (raw 6.3)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-03 | Vichy | 3 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-15 | Vichy | 4 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-08-03 | Vichy | 4 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-21 | Vichy | 4 | 14th | 14th | 0 |
| 2026-06-22 | Lyon-Parilly | 3 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-02 | Saint-Cloud | 3 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1367% of fieldRange 1-12 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength64%
Delivery trend +1.9% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 13.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/03/2026 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 83% | +0.46 |
| 20/04/2026 | 11th | 15/2 | 61% | 29% | -0.32 |
| 08/05/2026 | 9th | 14/1 | 26% | 47% | +0.20 |
| 02/06/2026 | 5th | 28/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 22/06/2026 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 78% | +0.25 |
| 21/07/2026 | 14th | 14/1 | 26% | 0% | -0.26 |
| 03/08/2026 | 5th | 22/1 | 0% | 64% | +0.64 |
| 15/08/2026 | 8th | 9/1 | 53% | 22% | -0.30 |
| 03/09/2026 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 75% | +0.75 |