9

Angel Dust

8yo Mare · 8-8

Vichy · Prix Bulington Handicap · 1m 1f 207y

#9

Rank

Odds

22/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#9

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 8.3 /10 (raw 7.1)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.8
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Compiegne 29/07/2025 · Pos 2nd of 16 · OR - · 1m1f207y Hvy 12729/07C?C0 @ ParisLongchamp 11/09/2025 · Pos 2nd of 12 · OR - · 1m1f97y GS 122C0 @ Compiegne 24/09/2025 · Pos 5th of 13 · OR - · 7f209y Hvy 11924/09C?C0 @ Le Croise-Laroche 06/10/2025 · Pos 2nd of 15 · OR - · 1m208y GS 128C0 @ Le Croise-Laroche 17/10/2025 · Pos 10th of 13 · OR - · 1m208y Sft 12817/10C?4 @ Vichy 13/05/2026 · Pos 10th of 16 · OR - · 7f209y Sft 1253 @ Compiegne 13/06/2026 · Pos 8th of 15 · OR - · 1m1f207y Sft 12313/0634 @ Vichy 23/07/2026 · Pos 9th of 15 · OR - · 1m1f207y GS 1234 @ Saint-Cloud 07/09/2026 · Pos 11th of 14 · OR - · 1m1f207y GS 1217/094projClass-projected finish: 10th of 13
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-07Saint-Cloud411th11th0
2026-07-23Vichy49th9th0
2026-06-13Compiegne38th8th0
2026-05-13Vichy410th10th0
2025-10-17Le Croise-Laroche?10th10th0
2025-10-06Le Croise-Laroche?2nd2nd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today29/076/1013/067/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 138% of fieldRange 10-13 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength0%

Delivery trend -2.2% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 12th of 13. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
29/07/20252nd9/276%93%+0.17
11/09/20252nd11/486%91%+0.05
24/09/20255th7/163%67%+0.04
06/10/20252nd9/488%93%+0.05
17/10/202510th7/282%25%-0.57
13/05/202610th20/10%40%+0.40
13/06/20268th14/126%50%+0.24
23/07/20269th12/137%43%+0.06
07/09/202611th8/158%23%-0.35