2

Kahouna

8yo Mare · 9-6

Vichy · Prix Bulington Handicap · 1m 1f 207y

#5

Rank

Odds

12/1

Win Prob

7%

Place Prob

10%

Rank

#5

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 6.8 /10 (raw 6.1)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.6
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Chateaubriant 21/08/2025 · Pos 6th of 15 · OR - · 1m5f38y Sft 12721/08C?C0 @ Argentan 08/10/2025 · Pos 11th of 14 · OR - · 1m2f96y Sft 130C0 @ Clairefontaine 24/10/2025 · Pos 12th of 14 · OR - · 1m2f205y Hvy 12524/10C?4 @ Evreux 15/04/2026 · Pos 7th of 14 · OR - · 1m4f94y Sft 130C0 @ Chateaubriant 05/05/2026 · Pos 9th of 12 · OR - · 1m1f152y Sft 1205/05C?4 @ Le Lion D'angers 05/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 15 · OR - · 1m1f207y Sft 1274 @ Le Lion D'angers 02/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 14 · OR - · 1m1f207y Sft 1302/0842 @ Le Lion D'angers 20/08/2026 · Pos 9th of 10 · OR - · 1m3f204y Sft 1204 @ Craon 05/09/2026 · Pos 11th of 16 · OR - · 1m2f205y Hvy 1285/094projClass-projected finish: 8th of 13
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-05Craon411th11th0
2026-08-20Le Lion D'angers29th9th0
2026-08-02Le Lion D'angers43rd3rd0
2026-06-05Le Lion D'angers42nd2nd0
2026-05-05Chateaubriant?9th9th0
2026-04-15Evreux47th7th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today21/0815/042/085/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1367% of fieldRange 4-9 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength57%

Delivery trend -0.8% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 13.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
21/08/20256th11/142%64%+0.22
08/10/202511th22/10%23%+0.23
24/10/202512th28/10%15%+0.15
15/04/20267th22/10%54%+0.54
05/05/20269th14/126%27%+0.01
05/06/20262nd9/153%93%+0.40
02/08/20263rd8/158%85%+0.27
20/08/20269th25/10%11%+0.11
05/09/202611th16/116%33%+0.18