8
Lucas Trezy
7yo Gelding · 8-12
Vichy · Prix Bulington Handicap · 1m 1f 207y
#4
Rank
Odds
13/1
Win Prob
11%
Place Prob
13%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 8.0 /10 (raw 7.3)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.8
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-09 | Dieppe | 4 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-08-29 | Clairefontaine | 4 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-16 | Le Touquet | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-03-11 | Lyon La Soie | 4 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-02-18 | Pornichet | 4 | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2026-02-06 | Deauville | 3 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1358% of fieldRange 8-13 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -4.2% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 13. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/12/2025 | 13th | 12/1 | 37% | 20% | -0.17 |
| 08/01/2026 | 11th | 20/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 24/01/2026 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 73% | +0.02 |
| 06/02/2026 | 7th | 17/2 | 55% | 57% | +0.02 |
| 18/02/2026 | 13th | 4/1 | 79% | 20% | -0.59 |
| 11/03/2026 | 12th | 7/1 | 63% | 8% | -0.55 |
| 16/08/2026 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 29/08/2026 | 5th | 8/1 | 58% | 71% | +0.14 |
| 09/09/2026 | 10th | 5/2 | 87% | 31% | -0.56 |