4
Pumpy Girl
8yo Mare · 9-5
Vichy · Prix Bulington Handicap · 1m 1f 207y
#2
Rank
Odds
7/2
Win Prob
29%
Place Prob
21%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 5.4)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-15 | Vichy | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-27 | Vittel | 4 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-07-19 | Vittel | 4 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-30 | Aix-Les-Bains | 4 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-04-29 | Lyon-Parilly | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-03-29 | Lyon-Parilly | 4 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 13100% of fieldRange 1-9 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength69%
Delivery trend -5.8% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 1st of 13. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/12/2025 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 58% | +0.43 |
| 24/02/2026 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 73% | +0.25 |
| 11/03/2026 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 75% | +0.28 |
| 29/03/2026 | 6th | 7/1 | 63% | 67% | +0.04 |
| 29/04/2026 | 3rd | 20/1 | 0% | 85% | +0.85 |
| 30/06/2026 | 5th | 10/3 | 82% | 67% | -0.16 |
| 19/07/2026 | 7th | 15/2 | 61% | 50% | -0.11 |
| 27/07/2026 | 8th | 10/1 | 47% | 22% | -0.25 |
| 15/08/2026 | 3rd | 15/2 | 61% | 78% | +0.17 |