1
Ridwaan
9yo Gelding · 9-6
Vichy · Prix Bulington Handicap · 1m 1f 207y
#8
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 8.7 /10 (raw 8.2)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.8
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-15 | Vichy | 4 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-08-03 | Vichy | 4 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-21 | Vichy | 4 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-06-20 | Marseille | 4 | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2026-06-06 | Marseille | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-02 | Saint-Cloud | 3 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1350% of fieldRange 4-13 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength28%
Delivery trend -0.6% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 13.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/04/2026 | 12th | 28/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 14/05/2026 | 12th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 22/05/2026 | 2nd | 16/1 | 16% | 89% | +0.73 |
| 02/06/2026 | 8th | 22/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 06/06/2026 | 4th | 7/2 | 82% | 50% | -0.32 |
| 20/06/2026 | 13th | 22/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 21/07/2026 | 12th | 40/1 | 0% | 21% | +0.21 |
| 03/08/2026 | 6th | 22/1 | 0% | 55% | +0.55 |
| 15/08/2026 | 9th | 14/1 | 26% | 11% | -0.15 |