3

Rosalie

8yo Gelding · 9-5

Vichy · Prix Bulington Handicap · 1m 1f 207y

#3

Rank

Odds

3/1

Win Prob

20%

Place Prob

17%

Rank

#3

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength6%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 6.3 /10 (raw 7.0)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Pornichet 01/12/2022 · Pos 9th of 16 · OR - · 1m2f96y Std 1281/12C?C0 @ Le Mans 29/03/2023 · Pos 9th of 15 · OR - · 1m1f152y Ver 129C0 @ Saint-Cloud 16/05/2023 · Pos 7th of 18 · OR - · 1m2f96y Hvy 11816/05C?C0 @ ParisLongchamp 01/06/2023 · Pos 2nd of 17 · OR - · 1m1f207y 116C0 @ ParisLongchamp 06/07/2023 · Pos 11th of 18 · OR - · 1m3f40y Sft 1276/07C?C0 @ Le Lion D'angers 11/08/2023 · Pos 10th of 12 · OR - · 1m1f207y Sft 114C0 @ ParisLongchamp 19/06/2025 · Pos 1st of 16 · OR - · 1m2f96y Sft 12319/06C?C0 @ Vichy 14/07/2025 · Pos 10th of 16 · OR - · 1m1f207y Ver 1304 @ Vichy 23/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 15 · OR - · 1m1f207y GS 13123/074projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 13
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-23Vichy44th4th0
2025-07-14Vichy?10th10th0
2025-06-19ParisLongchamp?1st1st0
2023-08-11Le Lion D'angers?10th10th0
2023-07-06ParisLongchamp?11th11th0
2023-06-01ParisLongchamp?2nd2nd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today1/121/0619/0623/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1392% of fieldRange 1-12 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength59%

Delivery trend -4.9% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 13. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
01/12/20229th10/147%47%-0.01
29/03/20239th33/10%43%+0.43
16/05/20237th9/153%65%+0.12
01/06/20232nd11/142%94%+0.52
06/07/202311th11/486%41%-0.44
11/08/202310th11/271%18%-0.53
19/06/20251st9/276%100%+0.24
14/07/202510th5/287%40%-0.47
23/07/20264th13/266%79%+0.13