12
What Do You Say
10yo Gelding · 8-5
Vichy · Prix Bulington Handicap · 1m 1f 207y
#10
Rank
Odds
70/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 10.0 /10 (raw 9.4)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.8
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-27 | Deauville | 3 | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2026-08-12 | Vichy | 4 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-08-03 | Vichy | 4 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-07-25 | Vichy | 4 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-05-17 | Le Croise-Laroche | 4 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-05-08 | Lyon-Parilly | 4 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1325% of fieldRange 9-13 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength18%
Delivery trend +1.9% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 10th of 13.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/11/2025 | 15th | 100/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 12/12/2025 | 9th | 100/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 30/12/2025 | 13th | 80/1 | 0% | 8% | +0.08 |
| 08/05/2026 | 8th | 80/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 17/05/2026 | 11th | 80/1 | 0% | 9% | +0.09 |
| 25/07/2026 | 10th | 80/1 | 0% | 18% | +0.18 |
| 03/08/2026 | 12th | 100/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 12/08/2026 | 6th | 50/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 27/08/2026 | 13th | 100/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |