12

Hey Man

8yo Gelding · 8-11

Vichy · Prix De Combronde Handicap · 1m 1f 207y

#12

Rank

Odds

20/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#12

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength4%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 6.8 /10 (raw 7.2)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C5735.2
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Pornichet 03/01/2026 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR - · 1m2f96y Std 1293/01C?3 @ Deauville 23/01/2026 · Pos 15th of 16 · OR - · 1m1f97y Std 1234 @ Le Mans 04/03/2026 · Pos 1st of 15 · OR - · 1m1f152y Hvy 1324/0344 @ Argentan 09/04/2026 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR - · 1m1f97y Sft 1294 @ Le Mans 21/04/2026 · Pos 7th of 14 · OR - · 1m1f152y Gd 13021/0444 @ Le Lion D'angers 05/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 15 · OR - · 1m1f207y Sft 12934392 @ Deauville 12/07/2026 · Pos 14th of 15 · OR - · 1m1f97y Gd 12712/07343924 @ Saint-Malo 22/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 13 · OR - · 1m208y Sft 1183 @ Clairefontaine 29/08/2026 · Pos 7th of 16 · OR - · 1m208y Hvy 12929/083projClass-projected finish: 8th of 13
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-29Clairefontaine37th7th0
2026-07-22Saint-Malo43rd3rd0
2026-07-12Deauville3439214th14th0
2026-06-05Le Lion D'angers46th6th0
2026-04-21Le Mans47th7th0
2026-04-09Argentan44th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today3/019/0412/0729/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1325% of fieldRange 2-8 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength68%

Delivery trend +9.6% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 10th of 13. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
03/01/20265th5/174%56%-0.18
23/01/202615th16/116%7%-0.09
04/03/20261st11/271%100%+0.29
09/04/20264th13/266%67%+0.01
21/04/20267th9/153%54%+0.01
05/06/20266th12/137%64%+0.27
12/07/202614th28/10%7%+0.07
22/07/20263rd33/10%83%+0.83
29/08/20267th20/10%60%+0.60