2
J'aurais Du
10yo Gelding · 9-5
Vichy · Prix De Combronde Handicap · 1m 1f 207y
#2
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
9%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength25%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 6.4)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.7
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-03 | Vichy | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-15 | Vichy | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-03 | Vichy | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-23 | Vichy | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-04 | Deauville | 3 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-06-13 | Compiegne | 3 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 13100% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength97%
Delivery trend -0.8% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 13.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/04/2026 | 6th | 13/2 | 66% | 58% | -0.07 |
| 15/04/2026 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 89% | +0.03 |
| 09/06/2026 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 73% | +0.73 |
| 13/06/2026 | 2nd | 8/1 | 58% | 93% | +0.35 |
| 04/07/2026 | 8th | 17/2 | 55% | 50% | -0.05 |
| 23/07/2026 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 03/08/2026 | 3rd | 8/1 | 58% | 82% | +0.24 |
| 15/08/2026 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 89% | +0.13 |
| 03/09/2026 | 2nd | 9/4 | 88% | 92% | +0.04 |