1
Jagda
6yo Mare · 9-6
Vichy · Prix De Combronde Handicap · 1m 1f 207y
#6
Rank
Odds
18/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength14%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 6.4)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-30 | Aix-Les-Bains | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-04-29 | Lyon-Parilly | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-10 | Marseille-borely | 4 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-03-29 | Lyon-Parilly | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-03-21 | Lyon La Soie | 4 | 14th | 14th | 0 |
| 2026-02-14 | Lyon La Soie | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1333% of fieldRange 2-13 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength25%
Delivery trend -2.2% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 9th of 13. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/12/2025 | 1st | 25/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 15/12/2025 | 4th | 7/1 | 63% | 75% | +0.12 |
| 21/01/2026 | 10th | 10/1 | 47% | 18% | -0.29 |
| 14/02/2026 | 2nd | 22/1 | 0% | 92% | +0.92 |
| 21/03/2026 | 14th | 14/1 | 26% | 13% | -0.13 |
| 29/03/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 80% | +0.43 |
| 10/04/2026 | 6th | 7/2 | 82% | 44% | -0.37 |
| 29/04/2026 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 86% | +0.70 |
| 30/06/2026 | 1st | 15/2 | 61% | 100% | +0.39 |