11
Lagoone Chope
7yo Mare · 8-11
Vichy · Prix De Combronde Handicap · 1m 1f 207y
#3
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
5%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength2%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 5.8 /10 (raw 6.0)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-12 | Vichy | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-30 | Vichy | 4 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-21 | Vichy | 4 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-06-17 | Salon-De-Provence | 4 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-13 | Vichy | 4 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-03-31 | Fontainebleau | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1342% of fieldRange 12-13 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -8.0% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 8th of 13. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/02/2026 | 8th | 40/1 | 0% | 22% | +0.22 |
| 24/02/2026 | 13th | 40/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 09/03/2026 | 4th | 22/1 | 0% | 75% | +0.75 |
| 31/03/2026 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 80% | +0.09 |
| 13/05/2026 | 9th | 10/1 | 47% | 43% | -0.05 |
| 17/06/2026 | 5th | 7/1 | 63% | 60% | -0.03 |
| 21/07/2026 | 8th | 7/1 | 63% | 50% | -0.13 |
| 30/07/2026 | 6th | 9/1 | 53% | 17% | -0.36 |
| 12/08/2026 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 63% | -0.09 |