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3

Lanceur D'alerte

6yo Gelding · 9-4

Vichy · Prix De Combronde Handicap · 1m 1f 207y

#13

Rank

Odds

40/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#13

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 9.3 /10 (raw 7.5)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Deauville 29/01/2026 · Pos 13th of 13 · OR - · 1m4f94y Std 13029/014C0 @ Pau 23/02/2026 · Pos 2nd of 15 · OR - · 1m1f207y Std 1344 @ La Teste De Buch 21/03/2026 · Pos 12th of 16 · OR - · 1m1f97y Sft 13221/0344 @ Toulouse 19/04/2026 · Pos 6th of 15 · OR - · 1m1f207y Sft 1324 @ Tarbes 11/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 14 · OR - · 1m2f96y Sft 13111/0544 @ La Teste De Buch 03/06/2026 · Pos 16th of 16 · OR - · 1m1f97y GS 1314 @ Bordeaux Le Bouscat 15/06/2026 · Pos 8th of 16 · OR - · 1m3f204y GS 13115/0644 @ Dax 08/07/2026 · Pos 10th of 12 · OR - · 1m3f95y Gd 1304 @ Vichy 03/08/2026 · Pos 12th of 12 · OR - · 1m1f207y Hvy 1283/084projClass-projected finish: 13th of 13
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-03Vichy412th12th0
2026-07-08Dax410th10th0
2026-06-15Bordeaux Le Bouscat48th8th0
2026-06-03La Teste De Buch416th16th0
2026-05-11Tarbes44th4th0
2026-04-19Toulouse46th6th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today29/0119/0415/063/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish13th of 130% of fieldRange 5-13 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength10%

Delivery trend -1.1% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 13th of 13.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
29/01/202613th18/15%0%-0.05
23/02/20262nd25/10%93%+0.93
21/03/202612th4/179%27%-0.52
19/04/20266th12/137%64%+0.27
11/05/20264th9/153%77%+0.24
03/06/202616th22/10%0%0.00
15/06/20268th28/10%53%+0.53
08/07/202610th16/116%18%+0.02
03/08/202612th28/10%0%0.00