7

Mahjouba

4yo Filly · 9-1

Vichy · Prix De Combronde Handicap · 1m 1f 207y

#9

Rank

Odds

7/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#9

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 7.0 /10 (raw 6.1)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.8
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack3 @ Chantilly 27/02/2026 · Pos 9th of 15 · OR - · 7f209y Std 12127/0233 @ Fontainebleau 13/03/2026 · Pos 2nd of 14 · OR - · 1m208y Sft 1304 @ Lyon-Parilly 18/04/2026 · Pos 6th of 14 · OR - · 7f209y Sft 12518/0444 @ Lyon-Parilly 29/04/2026 · Pos 14th of 15 · OR - · 1m1f207y Sft 1314 @ Vichy 13/05/2026 · Pos 9th of 16 · OR - · 7f209y Sft 13213/0543 @ Compiegne 09/06/2026 · Pos 7th of 16 · OR - · 7f209y GS 1304 @ Vichy 21/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 15 · OR - · 1m1f207y Hvy 12821/0744 @ Vichy 12/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR - · 1m1f207y Sft 1314 @ Lyon-Parilly 08/09/2026 · Pos 5th of 11 · OR - · 1m1f207y Sft 1218/094projClass-projected finish: 6th of 13
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-08Lyon-Parilly45th5th0
2026-08-12Vichy42nd2nd0
2026-07-21Vichy45th5th0
2026-06-09Compiegne37th7th0
2026-05-13Vichy49th9th0
2026-04-29Lyon-Parilly414th14th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today27/0229/0421/078/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1375% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength98%

Delivery trend -2.3% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 13. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
27/02/20269th33/10%43%+0.43
13/03/20262nd10/147%92%+0.45
18/04/20266th14/126%62%+0.35
29/04/202614th10/147%7%-0.40
13/05/20269th40/10%47%+0.47
09/06/20267th28/10%60%+0.60
21/07/20265th16/116%71%+0.56
12/08/20262nd11/486%88%+0.02
08/09/20265th17/255%60%+0.05