1
Arlong Fal
3yo Colt · 8-13
Vichy · Prix De Saint-christophe Stakes · 1m 1f 207y
#3
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
4%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength13%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.2 /10 (raw 3.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C3.9
Today:
Class gap: +0.6
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-18 | Deauville | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-29 | Dax | 2 | 7th | 4th | +3 |
| 2026-06-08 | Angers | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-12-19 | Chantilly | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-12-06 | Chantilly | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-11-21 | Chantilly | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 433% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength73%
Delivery trend -1.0% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 4.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/07/2025 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 63% | +0.15 |
| 08/09/2025 | 1st | 11/2 | 71% | 100% | +0.29 |
| 29/09/2025 | 8th | 5/1 | 74% | 36% | -0.37 |
| 21/11/2025 | 3rd | 13/2 | 66% | 80% | +0.14 |
| 06/12/2025 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 19/12/2025 | 4th | 4/5 | 96% | 50% | -0.46 |
| 08/06/2026 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 67% | -0.04 |
| 29/06/2026 | 7th | 10/3 | 82% | 14% | -0.68 |
| 18/08/2026 | 3rd | 20/1 | 0% | 71% | +0.71 |