4
Grande Baigneuse
3yo Filly · 8-10
Vichy · Prix De Saint-christophe Stakes · 1m 1f 207y
#2
Rank
Odds
7/5
Win Prob
6%
Place Prob
20%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼3
Strength85%
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 1.2 /10 (raw 4.5)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C1.7
Today:
Class gap: +2.8
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-03 | ParisLongchamp | 1 | 8th | 4th | +4 |
| 2026-08-02 | Deauville | 1 | 5th | 0th | +4 |
| 2026-07-23 | Vichy | 1 | 4th | 0th | +4 |
| 2026-02-19 | Chantilly | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 467% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +15.4% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 4. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/02/2026 | 1st | 15/8 | 90% | 100% | +0.10 |
| 23/07/2026 | 4th | 10/3 | 82% | 67% | -0.16 |
| 02/08/2026 | 5th | 28/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 03/09/2026 | 8th | 22/1 | 0% | 42% | +0.42 |