Chesneys Charm
4yo Gelding · 10-1 · OR 64
Wolverhampton · attheraces.com/marketmovers Apprentice Handicap · 1m 1f 104y
#10
Rank
Odds
11/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 5 of 6 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.2 /10 (raw 4.8)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-09 | Redcar | 5 | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-08-22 | Redcar | 5 | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-08-08 | Redcar | 4 | 7th | 5th | +2 |
| 2026-04-26 | Wetherby | 5 | 11th | 10th | +1 |
| 2026-04-16 | Ripon | 4 | 6th | 4th | +2 |
| 2026-03-21 | Southwell | 5 | 7th | 6th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -1.2% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 10th of 12.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08/2025 | 4th | 7/2 | 82% | 63% | -0.19 |
| 25/08/2025 | 4th | 13/2 | 66% | 70% | +0.04 |
| 09/09/2025 | 8th | 8/1 | 58% | 30% | -0.28 |
| 21/03/2026 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 45% | +0.30 |
| 16/04/2026 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 29% | +0.13 |
| 26/04/2026 | 11th | 16/1 | 16% | 9% | -0.07 |
| 08/08/2026 | 7th | 66/1 | 0% | 54% | +0.54 |
| 22/08/2026 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 71% | -0.02 |
| 09/09/2026 | 7th | 2/1 | 89% | 25% | -0.64 |