10

Gifts Differing

3yo Filly · 9-2 · OR 56

Wolverhampton · attheraces.com/marketmovers Apprentice Handicap · 1m 1f 104y

#6

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#6

★★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Failed to make the frame for James Ferguson but shaped well on her second start for new yard with second of 12 in handicap at Newcastle (1¼m) 19 days ago, collared late having quickened to front last 1f. Big shout nudged up 1 lb.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength58%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.9 /10 (raw 5.6)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.5
Today: 6
Class gap: +0.5
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Yarmouth 03/08/2025 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR - · 7f3y Gd 126 · HIGHER CLASS3/0845 @ Chelmsford City 26/02/2026 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR - · 1m Std 118 · HIGHER CLASS26/0255 @ Lingfield 20/03/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR - · 1m1y Std 125 · HIGHER CLASS20/0356 @ Lingfield 14/04/2026 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR 61 · 1m2f Std 131 · below its mark14/04/2026 · OR 61 par14/046OR 616 @ Leicester 13/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR 59 · 1m53y Goo 134 · beat its mark13/06/2026 · OR 59 par13/066OR 595 @ Southwell 06/08/2026 · Pos 9th of 11 · OR 57 · 1m14y Std 122 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark06/08/2026 · OR 57 par6/085OR 576 @ Newcastle 02/09/2026 · Pos 2nd of 12 · OR 55 · 1m2f42y Std 135 · beat its mark02/09/2026 · OR 55 par2/096OR 55projClass-projected finish: 7th of 12
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-02Newcastle62nd2nd0
2026-08-06Southwell59th8th+1
2026-06-13Leicester66th6th0
2026-04-14Lingfield66th6th0
2026-03-20Lingfield55th4th+1
2026-02-26Chelmsford City55th4th+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today3/0814/042/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1264% of fieldRange 1-10 · 68%
RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend
Strength68%

Delivery trend -0.7% per run

What the projection says

Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 5th of 12.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
03/08/20256th22/10%0%0.00
26/02/20265th80/10%50%+0.50
20/03/20265th28/10%43%+0.43
14/04/20266th15/261%17%-0.44
13/06/20266th12/137%29%-0.08
06/08/20269th66/10%20%+0.20
02/09/20262nd15/261%91%+0.30