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Green Team

7yo Gelding · 10-2 · OR 65

Wolverhampton · attheraces.com/marketmovers Apprentice Handicap · 1m 1f 104y

#3

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#3

★★ Timeform

Commentary

A 3-time winner for Ian Williams and, making third start for current yard, took advantage of a career-low mark when scoring under this rider here in May. Beat only one in handicap at Windsor (11.5f, good to firm) after 10 weeks off last time though.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▼1
Strength88%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 5 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 6 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 5.8)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C5.2
Today: 6
Class gap: +0.8
Higher-class runs: 5
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Wolverhampton 02/02/2026 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR 67 · 2m120y Std 132 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark02/02/2026 · OR 67 par2/025OR 675 @ Lingfield 21/02/2026 · Pos 10th of 12 · OR 66 · 1m5f Std 129 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark21/02/2026 · OR 66 par5 @ Newcastle 06/03/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 64 · 1m4f98y Std 127 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark06/03/2026 · OR 64 par6/035OR 645 @ Wolverhampton 20/03/2026 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR 62 · 1m4f51y Std 130 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark20/03/2026 · OR 62 par5 @ Southwell 26/03/2026 · Pos 2nd of 4 · OR 62 · 1m6f21y Std 125 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark26/03/2026 · OR 62 par26/035OR 626 @ Wolverhampton 11/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR 62 · 1m5f219y Std 132 · beat its mark11/05/2026 · OR 62 par5 @ Southwell 21/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 62 · 1m3f23y Std 148 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark21/05/2026 · OR 62 par21/055OR 625 @ Wolverhampton 29/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 12 · OR 61 · 1m4f51y Std 147 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark29/05/2026 · OR 61 par5 @ Windsor 03/08/2026 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR 65 · 1m3f99y GF 153 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark03/08/2026 · OR 65 par3/085OR 65projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 12
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-03Windsor57th6th+1
2026-05-29Wolverhampton51st0th+1
2026-05-21Southwell54th3rd+1
2026-05-11Wolverhampton64th4th0
2026-03-26Southwell52nd1st+1
2026-03-20Wolverhampton56th5th+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today2/0220/0321/053/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1245% of fieldRange 5-12 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength34%

Delivery trend -5.1% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 12. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
02/02/20266th25/10%38%+0.38
21/02/202610th28/10%18%+0.18
06/03/20264th9/153%50%-0.03
20/03/20266th9/153%44%-0.08
26/03/20262nd8/158%67%+0.09
11/05/20264th5/174%63%-0.11
21/05/20264th4/179%57%-0.22
29/05/20261st17/255%100%+0.45
03/08/20267th7/163%14%-0.49