7

Harbour Vision

11yo Gelding · 9-9 · OR 58

Wolverhampton · attheraces.com/marketmovers Apprentice Handicap · 1m 1f 104y

#4

Rank

Odds

16/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#4

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Has won 11 times at this course, recording back-to-back successes over 7f here in the winter. In just fair form when last seen here in June and will probably come on for this run over a much longer trip.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move
Strength51%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 7.6 /10 (raw 6.0)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.5
Today: 6
Class gap: +0.5
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack6 @ Wolverhampton 03/02/2026 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR 60 · 7f36y Std 139 · beat its mark03/02/2026 · OR 60 par3/026OR 605 @ Southwell 20/02/2026 · Pos 11th of 12 · OR 67 · 7f14y Std 132 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark20/02/2026 · OR 67 par4 @ Wolverhampton 27/02/2026 · Pos 11th of 12 · OR 67 · 7f36y Std 123 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark27/02/2026 · OR 67 par27/024OR 675 @ Wolverhampton 20/03/2026 · Pos 10th of 11 · OR 66 · 1m142y Std 133 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark20/03/2026 · OR 66 par5 @ Wolverhampton 31/03/2026 · Pos 9th of 12 · OR 65 · 7f36y Std 125 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark31/03/2026 · OR 65 par31/035OR 656 @ Wolverhampton 10/04/2026 · Pos 10th of 12 · OR 65 · 7f36y Std 135 · below its mark10/04/2026 · OR 65 par6 @ Lingfield 04/06/2026 · Pos 12th of 12 · OR 63 · 7f1y Std 133 · below its mark04/06/2026 · OR 63 par4/066OR 635 @ Wolverhampton 16/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 13 · OR 60 · 1m142y Std 146 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark16/06/2026 · OR 60 par6 @ Wolverhampton 28/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR 59 · 7f36y Std 131 · beat its mark28/06/2026 · OR 59 par28/066OR 59projClass-projected finish: 9th of 12
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-28Wolverhampton65th5th0
2026-06-16Wolverhampton53rd2nd+1
2026-06-04Lingfield612th12th0
2026-04-10Wolverhampton610th10th0
2026-03-31Wolverhampton59th8th+1
2026-03-20Wolverhampton510th9th+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today3/0220/034/0628/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1282% of fieldRange 2-9 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength63%

Delivery trend +4.5% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 12. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
03/02/20261st6/168%100%+0.32
20/02/202611th50/10%9%+0.09
27/02/202611th40/10%9%+0.09
20/03/202610th22/10%10%+0.10
31/03/20269th33/10%27%+0.27
10/04/202610th16/116%18%+0.02
04/06/202612th33/10%0%0.00
16/06/20263rd40/10%83%+0.83
28/06/20265th20/10%50%+0.50