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8

John Harrison

3yo Gelding · 9-9 · OR 63

Wolverhampton · attheraces.com/marketmovers Apprentice Handicap · 1m 1f 104y

#2

Rank

Odds

9/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#2

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Time Test gelding has resumed from 6 months off with a trio of good placed efforts, third of 5 in handicap at Ffos Las (1m, good to firm) last time. Must enter calculations back up in trip in his bid for a breakthrough victory.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▼1
Strength82%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Finished in the top 3 in 4 of 6 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.4 /10 (raw 4.9)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.8
Today: 6
Class gap: +1.2
Higher-class runs: 6
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Salisbury 02/10/2025 · Pos 11th of 11 · OR - · 1m Goo 133 · HIGHER CLASS2/1044 @ Southwell 26/11/2025 · Pos 8th of 14 · OR - · 7f14y Std 133 · HIGHER CLASS26/1145 @ Southwell 12/12/2025 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR - · 7f14y Std 133 · HIGHER CLASS12/1255 @ Lingfield 03/01/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 65 · 1m1y Sta 130 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark03/01/2026 · OR 65 par3/015OR 655 @ Salisbury 30/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 63 · 1m Goo 123 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark30/06/2026 · OR 63 par30/065OR 635 @ Newmarket 18/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 5 · OR 63 · 1m2f GF 129 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark18/07/2026 · OR 63 par18/075OR 635 @ Ffos Las 12/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 5 · OR 63 · 1m Gd 128 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark12/08/2026 · OR 63 par12/085OR 63projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 12
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-12Ffos Las53rd2nd+1
2026-07-18Newmarket53rd2nd+1
2026-06-30Salisbury53rd2nd+1
2026-01-03Lingfield54th3rd+1
2025-12-12Southwell52nd1st+1
2025-11-26Southwell48th6th+2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today2/103/0112/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1273% of fieldRange 3-12 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength38%

Delivery trend -11.8% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 12. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
02/10/202511th33/10%0%0.00
26/11/20258th300/10%46%+0.46
12/12/20252nd11/142%88%+0.45
03/01/20264th20/10%40%+0.40
30/06/20263rd10/147%60%+0.13
18/07/20263rd15/890%50%-0.40
12/08/20263rd6/492%50%-0.42