Look Back Smiling
6yo Gelding · 10-0 · OR 63
Wolverhampton · attheraces.com/marketmovers Apprentice Handicap · 1m 1f 104y
#7
Rank
Odds
13/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.9 /10 (raw 5.3)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | Newcastle | 6 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-18 | Chepstow | 6 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-21 | Wolverhampton | 5 | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-07-08 | Kempton | 6 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-05 | Goodwood | 5 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-04-05 | Bath | 5 | 10th | 9th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +5.3% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 12. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/11/2025 | 11th | 11/2 | 71% | 23% | -0.48 |
| 08/11/2025 | 6th | 5/1 | 74% | 75% | +0.01 |
| 22/11/2025 | 9th | 17/2 | 55% | 27% | -0.28 |
| 05/04/2026 | 10th | 20/1 | 0% | 10% | +0.10 |
| 05/06/2026 | 4th | 17/2 | 55% | 57% | +0.02 |
| 08/07/2026 | 3rd | 15/2 | 61% | 78% | +0.17 |
| 21/07/2026 | 7th | 28/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 18/08/2026 | 6th | 9/2 | 76% | 29% | -0.48 |
| 05/09/2026 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 75% | +0.28 |