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Jack Langley

4yo Gelding · 9-13 · OR 67

Wolverhampton · Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Handicap · 2m 120y

#1

Rank

Odds

6/4

Win Prob

33%

Place Prob

39%

Rank

#1

★★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Successful on the turf at Lingfield (13f) in June on second start for current yard. Has continued in good nick, not beaten far when fourth of 5 in handicap at Newmarket (1½m, good) last time. Player on his tapeta debut.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength21%

What the class read says

Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 3.9)

Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.7
Today: 5
Class gap: -0.7
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack6 @ Lingfield 03/12/2025 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR 55 · 1m5f Std 132 · beat its mark03/12/2025 · OR 55 par3/126OR 556 @ Lingfield 03/01/2026 · Pos 2nd of 11 · OR 59 · 1m4f Sta 132 · beat its mark03/01/2026 · OR 59 par6 @ Lingfield 24/01/2026 · Pos 4th of 12 · OR 60 · 1m4f Std 130 · beat its mark24/01/2026 · OR 60 par24/016OR 606 @ Lingfield 27/03/2026 · Pos 6th of 11 · OR 60 · 1m7f169y Std 134 · beat its mark27/03/2026 · OR 60 par6 @ Ripon 18/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 12 · OR 59 · 1m4f10y Goo 148 · beat its mark18/06/2026 · OR 59 par18/066OR 596 @ Lingfield 27/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 4 · OR 59 · 1m5f Goo 129 · beat its mark27/06/2026 · OR 59 par6 @ Nottingham 04/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 65 · 1m6f Goo 135 · beat its mark04/07/2026 · OR 65 par4/076OR 655 @ Newmarket 08/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 67 · 1m6f GF 141 · beat its mark08/08/2026 · OR 67 par5 @ Newmarket 20/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 5 · OR 67 · 1m4f Goo 136 · beat its mark20/08/2026 · OR 67 par20/085OR 67projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 5
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-20Newmarket54th4th0
2026-08-08Newmarket52nd2nd0
2026-07-04Nottingham62nd3rd−1
2026-06-27Lingfield61st2nd−1
2026-06-18Ripon63rd4th−1
2026-03-27Lingfield66th7th−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today3/1227/034/0720/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 575% of fieldRange 2-4 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength54%

Delivery trend -4.7% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 5. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
03/12/20251st15/890%100%+0.10
03/01/20262nd6/492%90%-0.02
24/01/20264th5/287%73%-0.14
27/03/20266th3/184%50%-0.34
18/06/20263rd3/184%82%-0.02
27/06/20261st4/998%100%+0.02
04/07/20262nd10/1195%80%-0.15
08/08/20262nd11/893%80%-0.13
20/08/20264th5/287%25%-0.62